Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.013076 2.332297 2.683413 3.097952 3.573698 4.102316 4.733960
2025-02-16 1.482989 1.879249 2.353114 2.960407 3.716926 4.627169 5.804446
2025-02-23 1.110194 1.523380 2.055411 2.788273 3.769043 5.033559 6.784843
2025-03-02 0.842483 1.242552 1.793288 2.602779 3.757774 5.341299 7.671278
2025-03-09 0.695495 1.094754 1.678390 2.587535 3.960861 5.949056 9.035000
2025-03-16 0.566660 0.947545 1.536151 2.503483 4.043241 6.386063 10.203690
2025-03-23 0.511984 0.903883 1.540421 2.637727 4.467538 7.376962 12.325701
2025-03-30 0.457441 0.849824 1.517553 2.721121 4.816823 8.287661 14.429962
2025-04-06 0.399488 0.779141 1.454501 2.724425 5.027912 8.992209 16.273843
2025-04-13 0.331127 0.677356 1.320562 2.580962 4.959809 9.208944 17.299584
2025-04-20 0.303018 0.647106 1.311774 2.663355 5.306560 10.187122 19.782198
2025-04-27 0.284607 0.632846 1.330585 2.799367 5.768461 11.422360 22.872513
2025-05-04 0.257304 0.596935 1.304007 2.847251 6.076384 12.425631 25.685797
2025-05-11 0.231148 0.559077 1.267913 2.870681 6.339067 13.374427 28.512654
2025-05-18 0.200116 0.504747 1.188511 2.790285 6.374851 13.874775 30.498242
2025-05-25 0.169703 0.446227 1.090501 2.653452 6.268704 14.066656 31.860358
2025-06-01 0.153500 0.419413 1.060604 2.666802 6.496245 14.989047 34.888406
2025-06-08 0.134419 0.381795 0.999286 2.596830 6.523002 15.475872 37.015349
2025-06-15 0.129492 0.380572 1.026659 2.746144 7.085688 17.224279 42.184963
2025-06-22 0.121967 0.370920 1.031286 2.839054 7.523487 18.734737 46.973748
2025-06-29 0.111237 0.350262 1.004163 2.846159 7.748498 19.770076 50.754977
2025-07-06 0.095428 0.311772 0.923261 2.698575 7.558241 19.783638 52.063787
2025-07-13 0.090361 0.304790 0.928193 2.785809 7.995273 21.391231 57.501377